- David Wells
Last night the Tennessee Titans beat my Texans on Monday Night Football. It was a great game. Some observations:
- Just like the Titans season, the career of Vince Young has been resurrected. It's hard to believe that just a few short weeks ago the prevailing wisdom, even among Titan fans, was that Vince Young was done. "He's not an NFL quarterback". "He's a quitter", etc. Vince Young has proven what he really is: a winner. There's no stat-sheet for that.
- Passing over Vince Young for Mario Williams in 2006 is once again looking like a stupid decision. Again, the Titans can point to a lot of reasons they won the game last night, but from this Texans fan's perspective, without VY, the Titans don't win that game. He made plays when he needed to.
- Maybe teams will once again crack the VY code. I don't know. The Texans defense seemed surprised, somehow, that VY used his legs to get easy first downs. It's almost as if our defensive coordinator planned for Kerry Collins.
- There's something disturbing about the Texans sideline in the fourth quarter in close games. I remember thinking this last night as MNF cut to shots of Gary Kubiac and the players on the sidelines when the game was tied 17-17 with a few minutes left: they know they are going to lose. Shots of the Titans sideline told a different story. They were loose, and confident. They knew they were going to win. I think that's the difference in the game.
- This was a huge game for the Texans, and hence the disappointment is palpable in Houston. This is the second game in a row that we've lost in the last seconds with a missed field goal. It doesn't take much to separate 7-3 from 5-5. This game, for all intents and purposes, took the Texans out of the playoff picture. Their season now has devolved into an effort to finally have a winning record (the best the Texans have ever done is 8-8). Unfortunately, even a winning season won't be enough for this star-crossed franchise.
- I think this game also was the end of Gary Kubiak's career here as head coach, which is sad. I like Koobs. But he hasn't been able to turn this team into a winner. He's gotten tantalizingly close. But the calls for his removal are going to get loud, now.
- A win next week against the undefeated Indianapolis Colts (another team that always pulls out a win against the Texans, no matter how close the game is) could possibly save the season. But the Texans pretty much have to be perfect from now on.
- For Titans fans, what a season this is turning into! It's hard to believe they were 0-6 just a few weeks ago. Though the Texans have a better record, the Titans seem to have a better chance of making the Wild Card this year. I'm glad for their players and for Jeff Fisher, who is a class act. I'll do my best to ignore the classless, bird-flipping octogenarian up in the luxury box.
- For entertaining football, the Texans/Titans games are hard to beat. These teams really hate each other, and that makes the game fun to watch. As Monday Night Football goes, that was one of the best games of the season. I wish the result had been different, but hats off to the Titans. They are the better team, and they showed it last night.
- Quaid, who never gave up on Vince Young in conversations in this space, should be feeling a satisfying sense of vindication this morning. :-)
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I don't know, Jared. VY is totally in my head and in the head of Houstonians. He owns us at Reliant Stadium.
I remember writing this post last year, thanking JF for not putting VY in the game against us when Kerry Collins was stinking up the place at the end of the season. Because I knew, if VY got in there, somehow he would have gotten a win. He's something like 22-11 as a starter.
For years I defended the Texans decision to not draft VY. For awhile it looked like we had gotten the better end of the deal with Mario Williams. But he was the disappearing man last night, and Young just . . . won. That's what he does, somehow.
I agree, though - teams will figure out how to shut VY down, possibly, so we'll see. I just know I never want to see him at QB for the Titans when playing against the Texans. He's 4-0 against us.
The Titans are (or were) having a bad season. But the Texans are having a bad life. We've never even gotten above .500. It's hard to be a sports fan in this town . . .
Also, last night's game was, for Houstonians, an absolute must win game. At this point, I'm wondering if the air's so out of the balloon that an 8-8 season will look good.
I think Kubiak's gone.
As long as the Titans win, I don't care if VY throws 20 INTs and 1 TD (well, I care a little).
There seems to be quite a bit more maturity on VY's part these days and that is good to see. Comeback player of the year if he keeps winning.
Don't you mean "all intensive purposes"?
Ha ha. I was hoping someone would notice my (for the first time ever) correct usage there :-)
It seems like Vince Young is the one who gave Titans' fans the impression that he wasn't a leader and didn't have the dedication it would take to be an NFL quarterback. It just seemed like being a good NFL QB wasn't very high on his list of priorities. He seemed to be suffering a case of Ricky Williams-itis, perhaps minus the herbs and smoke. It looks like he may have rekindled the competitive fire though, and I do think that if he WANTS to, and is willing to work at it, he could be a pretty good NFL QB. Like you said Bill, he's a winner. As long as his legs hold out (I don't see him transitioning well to just being a pocket QB) he could be a tough challenge for opposing D's week in and week out. But his game will have to continue to evolve in order to become really great.
I didn't like the Mario Williams decision at the time it was made, but I think it was the right one as of now. To date, he has done significantly more in the NFL than either Reggie Bush or VY. Even if his productivity ended now, those two have quite a ways to catch up before I'd even consider them his equal in terms of NFL achievement. If he keeps his fire and stays healthy, he should be a top flight, pro bowl or near pro bowl-level DE for another 5-10 seasons, and those don't grow on trees. If VY becomes dominant in the NFL the way he was in college then maybe I'd reconsider. But as of right now I think the Texans made a very brave, very good move in taking Mario.
I'm much more concerned about the NFC Playoff picture as a Falcon fan (they're in a similar position to the Texans btw, and had an equally hurtful loss this week).
But I am wondering who that "other white guy" (Anderson - 89) is taking catches away from Kevin Walter and Andre Johnson (both of whom are on my fantasy team).......please tell 89 to cut it out!
Quaid, who never gave up on Vince Young in conversations in this space, should be feeling a satisfying sense of vindication this morning. :-)
I think I'm vindicated to an extent. I agree with Jared that there's still a ways to go before we know exactly what we're looking at. While I hope he does well, I think his next two games might be a little rough.
Having said that, what I've felt all along is not that VY is going to be a great NFL QB, although I think there's plenty of potential. My analysis all along has been that he is a strong, qualified NFL starter who has what it takes to win games consistently. He is good enough to be starting week in and week out in the NFL. The Titans have been foolish to not play him, imho.
The loose feeling you describe on the Titans sideline emanates from VY. That's what he did at Texas and it's a legacy that has continued with Colt McCoy there (hopefully, along with winning champsionships). Credit Jeff Fisher for allowing that "vibe" to be realized this season. This ease is another thing that has no stat attached to it.
I would argue against the comparison with Ricky Williams (who has experienced quite the resurrection, himself). Ricky completely checked out. He started doing so his Senior year at Texas (yeah - that one where he broke the all-time record). VY never checked out - he just got rattled. I think Fisher left him out to dry - to a small extent.
IMHO, VY should not only have been starting games at the beginning of this season, but at the end of last season, too. Fisher left him on the bench for too long. There is benefit, however, in that a strong, healthy young QB was effectively given a paid year off to heal and regain any mental and physical fitness lost from decades of being knocked around.
The Texans should have picked VY. Mario Williams is a great player, but the Texans needed a winning QB more than they needed a star Defensive Lineman - last time I checked, star D-Linemen don't win championships, either. Not to mention the fact that you can see QBs of less stature than VY with championships under their belts.
Mario Williams was getting compared to Bruce Smith when he was drafted. Smith was arguably one the greatest defensive ends in the history of the NFL. There are no Superbowl rings on his fingers.
Mario's stats may look better because he was actually playing in games last year, but if VY stays healthy, I think he will prove out to be the greatest player from the 2006 NFL draft (this includes Cutler). And we can't forget what Bill mentioned in the post - if you look at stats alone, you will have missed almost everything that's great about VY.
Oh, and Bill, how is your pessimism regarding the Texans' chances from here on out like the Texans pessimism about their chances as evidenced from the sidelines last night? Discuss.
It means I'm a bad fan, I guess.
One little-noted event last night: There was a (clearly bogus - the defender had his hands on the running back's shirt) "horse-collar" 15 yard penalty that helped spur the Titan's winning drive.
After the game, the head referee high fived Vince Young!!!!
Man!
Another comment regarding pessimism, though: If I was a Texan or one of their coaches I would have been exhorting the team. We can do this! We can beat these guys!
What I saw in their eyes was fear, and "here we go again". The franchise has been somewhat jaded during 7 (8?) seasons of futility.
I think the Texans are on the edge of a tipping point. I think once they get going, they will go far - it's just a matter of starting the avelanche.
They have shown improvement this season over the last. Unless they end up less than .500, I would give Kubiak one more season.
Quaid, you've obviously followed VY's career more closely than I have. But the impression I got wasn't just that VY was rattled, but that he was (and the organization was) questioning his commitment level and desire to even play in the NFL. QB's are supposed to be "first in, last out" of the practice facility and film study day after day, if they really want to be great. I thought the early buzz on VY was that while he may not have been totally checked out like Ricky Williams, he wasn't dedicated 24/7 the way a QB who really wants to become great needs to be (P. Manning on one extreme, J. Russell on the other, VY somewhere in between but not really on the Manning end of the spectrum).
As far as Mario Williams, I think he's already played DE at a pro bowl level and shows signs of staying there. VY hasn't played QB at a pro bowl level yet and it's not clear if he ever will, even if he becomes a reliable starter. Early in your post you say that you aren't claiming VY is going to be great, but rather that he can be a solid NFL starter. I'd argue that an all-pro DE is worth more than a merely solid QB. I agree with you that a great QB is worth more than a great DE and if VY ever does become a great QB for an extended period of time then I'd agree that the Texans should have drafted him.
The observation that Bruce Smith was an all-time great DE but doesn't have a super bowl ring can also be made of perhaps the best QB of all time (or at least he's on the short list), Dan Marino. So I don't think it gets us anywhere.
stroke, good catch there. I forgot VY had gone to the pro bowl and that shows I haven't followed his career like people from Texas and TN - and that I have a bad NFL memory to boot (I follow college football much more closely). I just don't think of him as a pro bowl QB.
I do agree that he's good enough to be given the reins of a team, and that he's a winner with intangibles that go beyond the stat sheet. I could even see him developing into a very good to maybe even great QB. He's a handful for a defense. But when I think of current NFL QB's who are "pro bowl level QB's" I don't put VY's name on the list - yet. If he keeps doing what he's been doing so far this year that may change.
Still, thus far in their careers I think Mario Williams has played much closer to the level you'd expect from a high first round draft pick, than VY has. If their careers ended today I'd say the Texans made the right pick. If Mario Williams continues at a consistent pro bowl level and VY tops out as a pretty decent starter who occasionally makes a pro bowl, I'd still say the Texans made the right pick. Assuming Mario Williams remains a high quality DE, I'd only say the Texans should have picked VY if VY becomes an upper echelon NFL QB who is a perennial candidate for the pro bowl and he's just not there yet, IMO.
I feel for Kris Brown. I hope he comes out of this slump. If he had been on -- like he usually is -- we might not be having this conversation.
For years I defended the Texans decision to not draft VY. For awhile it looked like we had gotten the better end of the deal with Mario Williams. But he was the disappearing man last night, and Young just . . . won. That's what he does, somehow.
I think we did get the better end of the deal. VY has won four games in a row, but that's far from proving that he's a "winner." He may wind up being a good or great NFL QB, but he's a long way from proving that. I think, overall, Mario has been a better NFL player. VY had a better game last night than Mario, but that means nothing over the course of a career.
Looking back, I'm glad the Texans picked Super Mario over VY or Reggie Bush. I wouldn't change a thing.
I'm glad the Texans lost. There was a good chance that I would have lost one of my fantasy league games had they won (my opponent had 3 Texans playing, and I was finished).
Vince is still over-rated.
The Texans have lost their last two games because the kicker failed to make game winning field goals. We could easily be 7-3, but instead we sit at a mediocre 5-5.
That being said (and although this isn't the original question), I would rather have Matt Schaub than Vince Young. Schaub is having a career season with 67.1% completions, 2,958 passing yards (3rd in the league), 19 TDs (6th) and a 98.9 QB rating (6th).
Chris Johnson was a bigger factor in last night's game than VY.
I like Mario Williams. He's a defensive beast. I'm glad he's on our team. Many journalists have been speculating that he has been playing with a hurt shoulder this season, which has kept him from being as explosive as he was for the past two seasons. However, he won't let on how bad it really is, so who knows?
In four seasons, both VY and Mario have one Pro Bowl seasons each. Overall, Mario has 2 great seasons compared with 1 1/2 for Vince. The jury is still out.
Sha, in the kicker's defense, they were game tying field goals, not game winning field goals. 42 yards and 49 yards, respectively. Would have sent the games to overtime, so we still might have lost.
"Vince is still over-rated."
In what regard? Most people had written him off as a waste of money a couple of months ago. Certainly that couldn't be considered overrated, right?
The hard part about discussing VY right now is that no one is definitively right. Similar to discussing a President's legacy in the midst of his Presidency, there's no way to tell how this will turn out and how we will view these events years from now.
We can all agree that most NFL teams would be happy to have a starting quarterback who wins 2 out of every three games he plays. 11-5 gets a team into the playoffs almost every year. And judging by last year's Cardinals, that could be good enough to win it all.
The hard part about discussing VY right now is that no one is definitively right.
True. Very true.
But ... if I could trade QBs with the Titans right now, I wouldn't. If I could trade 2006 draft picks, I wouldn't.
And, most importantly, if I could trade current records, I wouldn't. :-)
One thing that's confused me about VY. I am a football fan, but I don't have the football mind that I would expect in, say, an experienced NFL coach or scout. So I watched Monday's game and thought "Wow, he's playing good. Drat!" - he seemed unstoppable when it mattered. I do think that's part of VYs makeup - he has a great knack for making plays.
But NFL minds, sportswriters, etc, and especially his own coaches had completely written him off. Just a few months ago I couldn't find anyone on the radio who thought he'd be with the Titans next year.
So what are they seeing that I'm not seeing? I do think the next few games will tell. VY could be similar to a phenomenon you get when a backup QB comes into a game: teams don't yet always know how to adjust to his style. I'm going to assume that whatever good team is next to play the Titans is frantically working on a defensive scheme to shut down CJ and VY. In my estimation, you do that, and you'll roll over the Titans. But how easy is that to do?
Did his coaches completely misunderstand and underestimate this athlete they've had with them for the past four years? Or did something fundamental change in VYs playing? Or is this a flash, and he'll soon revert to what they've been saying all year about him: a great athlete, but not cut out to be an NFL starting quarterback?
I guess we'll see.
The most important indicator of the Texans potential: can they beat Indy at home this Sunday?
Impossible, some would say. But the Texans have had better luck with Indy than would be expected, in the past. And almost pulled out a win against them in Indy a few weeks ago.
In fact, the Texans have "almost" beaten Indy several times. Unfortunately, between the Colt's inherent ability to just snatch victory from the jaws of defeat and other associated unfortunate events (Rosencopter), usually the Colts come through. But if the Texans can beat the Colts, it will be huge, and if they do I'll be more inclined to peg them at 10-6 at season's end, and minimum 9-7.
If the Colts defeat the Texans, we're probably heading for another 8-8 ending. Bah. . .
Quaid - a somewhat related but not uber-important question. Just wondering.
Where are your loyalties these days? You live in Dallas, so the Cowboys? Houston roots, so the Texans? VY-admiration, so the Titans? Or is it situational?
I'm not really loyal to anyone in the NFL. I hope the Texans win and I think it's funny when the Cowboys lose. People up here go into mourning after a Cowboys loss. It's so entertaining.
I want VY to do well, but am not really that happy with Flick-em-off Adams. Still, my hope for VY's success outweighs my desire for the Bud to lose.
All to say - I hope everyone in my fantasy football teams do well. (This is my first season to do this, and I like it a lot.) Outside of that, I just watch and admire the great plays and cringe at the bad. Get me to the Superbowl with the snacks and dips and commercials.
Now college football . . . Don't get me started.
OK - I'm seriously thinking about upgrading my prediction to "great" and may move to "hall-of-famer" if he continues to pump out wins like the one from today.
While he wasn't down 17-0, throwing a TD with no time left on the clock means one thing: icewater. That man has it. He is a winner. Through and through.
So I guess the question is - Do the Titans make the playoffs???
They might, but they'll have to be perfect. The real test is next week against Indy (in Indy). If they win their, I'll say the Titans are for real. But they have to win all the rest of their games including that one to make the playoffs.
The Texans, on the other hand, are extremely doubtful to make the playoffs, now. Some are wondering if we'll end up over .500.
I posted this in another thread, but I guess it really belongs here:
Vince Young looked great. If he keeps playing like that, he'll have to be considered in the top 1/3 of QB's in the league.
But at this point I still think we'll have to wait and see if he becomes a great one, or if he tops out where Michael Vick did (pre dogfighting) - as a dangerous but incomplete QB who can at times can do absolute magic and whose contributions to W's go well beyond the typical QB stat sheet, but who also has enough holes in his game that NFL D's will be able to thwart him from becoming great. Either way, he's sure fun to watch.
I think it's possible for the Titans to get in at 9-7. The AFC is horrible this year. With Denver and the Texans slipping, the Wild Card could go to anyone.
This to say, even if they lose this weekend at Indy, they could still make it in. Their schedule isn't particularly difficult after Sunday. Their other games are all against sub-500 teams, with the exception of San Diego. If the Titans can go 1-1 between Indy and San Diego and win the rest of their games, I think they're in at 9-7.
There's still a ways to go. Let's see what happens on Sunday and we'll go from there :)

Don't you mean "all intensive purposes"? :-)
On VY: Let's not get ahead of ourselves. I'm as glad as anybody we're winning, and I take no sadness in Vince Young's awesomeness all of a sudden. :-) But I still suspect he's not the future.
But again, I'll be glad if I'm wrong. I just want to win.
But we've had good scrambling quarterbacks in the past, and I think it's clear across the NFL, those aren't the types of QB's that both win championships and create legacies.
4 in a row is awesome. I'm banking on a 10-6 season. :-)
But let's get a couple more games under his belt before we start saying he's the Titans resurrection.
Again: I hope he is.