"In spiritual matters there really is no 'Third World.' It's all Third World."

- Dallas Willard
Lost: The Variable

Just watched the episode. No liveblog tonight, but some thoughts and spoilers below the fold.




This is one of the first episodes where I pretty much called everything that happened before it did. That's rare for me. But still, a very good episode.

The actor who plays Faraday did a great job.

Either the actress that plays Eloise Hawking isn't very good, or she's just written and directed to be irritating . . .

. . . and EVIL! Wow. All the characters have daddy issues, except Dan. He has the mother of all mommy issues. Eloise Hawking is evil incarnate. She's Ben-squared.

Charles Widmore is Dan's dad?

I knew Daniel would die. I admit I didn't quite catch on that Eloise would be the one shooting him. But I wasn't surprised.

I absolutely love Sawyer and Juliet. Great chemistry. Great tragedy.

Little Charlotte is absolutely adorable.

Jack did some (or at least helped to do some) behonkus kicking in this episode. Nice to see him back.

I'm all confused as to what will happen to them if they stop the Swan from being built. Will they just disappear, like in Back to the Future?

You can see the conflict. They want to go back to their own time. But do they really want to change everything? Not know each other? Does Kate want to go to jail, for instance? I'm not sure, from the previews, that Jack has thought through it yet.

I was a bit surprised that Daniel seemed so ready to shoot Richard. That seemed out of character.

Notice how Daniel didn't tell Charlotte that she would die if she returned? Or maybe he did, off camera.

Daniel said that Eloise was wrong to send them back. Can anyone make sense of WHY the O6 had to go back to the island? It doesn't figure . . .

Two favorite Sawyerisms this episode: "H.G. Wells" and "You're mother's an Other?"

Honorable mention: "Twitchy"

Saddest thing said: "I'm your son". Second saddest, from Juliet: "It's over for us here, anyway." She's known that ever since the O3 showed up.

I wonder how Sayid is doing?

Radzinksi is a real piece of work. I'm starting to kind of like him.

Just kidding.

Final thought: maybe Daniel isn't dead? The island might heal him. Which would make Eloise only slightly less evil.

Leave your thoughts in the comments

Update: I've been thinking about it. I have a theory: Eloise is good. Daniel will not die. He's very important for some reason. She has pushed him all his life to learn as much as he possibly can about time travel, and to stay unconnected from settling down to family life, because she knew time was short. Daniel needed to gain all this knowledge for some reason to be revealed later (perhaps next season). He is not going to die. The island will heal him. She knows this, and that's why she sent him back.

It's a theory, anyway.

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Comments on "Lost: The Variable":
1. Sherry Early - 04/29/2009 10:24 pm CDT

Yeah, Evil Eloise won't even let Daniel play the piano.

My thoughts, such as they are, are here.

2. Shauna - 04/29/2009 10:35 pm CDT

I've suspected Faraday was Widmore's son since we saw Charles and Ellie together in the 50s, so that wasn't a huge revelation. I didn't expect he would die until he said, "Any one of us could die" to Jack. This episode felt a bit shark-jumpy to me because they're seemingly changing the rules, though I'm sure I'll change my mind after I watch it again.

3. Bill - 04/29/2009 10:36 pm CDT

I just updated the post. I think the "Daniel is dead" is classic Lost misdirection. I think he'll live.

(Now's when someone will pipe up and tell me that they read that the actor's character really did die and he's off the show. Bah . . . )

4. Bill - 04/29/2009 10:37 pm CDT

This episode felt a bit shark-jumpy to me because they're seemingly changing the rules, though I'm sure I'll change my mind after I watch it again.

I dunno. I think the writers are on top of this one - it feels less shark-jumpy to me, I guess. I think things will stay coherent.

We'll see.

5. Evan - 04/29/2009 11:39 pm CDT

I think Daniel is actually dead (unfortunately)and futhermore I don't think it violates the time travel 'rules' set up so far by the writers.

As Daniel points out to Jack, the time travelers (Jack, Sawyer, Miles, Daniel, Kate, Juliette, Sawyer, Hurley, Jin, Sayid) can all die in 1977 because even though they may currently be in the island's past, it is actually their 'present'. Meanwhile, people that are not time travelers (i.e. young Ben) couldn't die in 1977 because that actually is his past and we already know he has a future. So in the end, all Daniel accomplished was the necessary actions in 1977 that he already had, including being killed by his mother.

Although I don't think that the writers have violated the 'what happened, happened" rule yet, it does raise the question why Hawking and Widmore feel the need to knowingly keep working and making 'sacrifices' to ensure and preserve the timeline. If Daniel and Desmond both were fated to go to the island to perform their necessary actions, why did Hawking and Widmore have to scheme and prod them both (and others) to fulfill their destiny? One would think that somehow the inevitable would have happened without their scheming.

By the way, one of my favorite Stephen King (who the Lost writers also love) books is Insomnia, which features some potentially interesting parallels. In that book, people are either classified as 'the Purpose' (people with a specific important destiny they must fulfill) or 'the Random' (people whose actions can vary but in no way change the destinies of the Purpose). However, King throws in a single special person called a wildcard (*) who has true free will and can destroy the Purpose.

I think a wildcard is necessary to keep some suspense in the plot, and therefore the writers have kept open the possibility (and even periodically identified certain characters as 'special'). None of these characters has yet been shown to actually alter past events that change a necessary future, but the writers keep the question hanging and playing with it.

Two extra questions this episode raised in my mind:
1) Who exactly is Penny's mother? Is is also Elloise Hawking and therefore is she Daniel's brother?
2) Penny giving her child Charlie to a nurse before going in to see Desmond feels like an important plot point, doesn't it?

6. Bill - 04/30/2009 6:21 am CDT

Well, Evan, I hope you're wrong, but you almost never are, so I'm bummed . . .

Penny giving her child Charlie to a nurse before going in to see Desmond feels like an important plot point, doesn't it?

YES! I was thinking "DON'T DO THAT!" - in a hospital crawling with Eloises and Widmores, how smart was that?

I hope little Cholly is ok.

7. Jared - 04/30/2009 7:55 am CDT

With the time travel and all that, could little Cholly be big Charlie?
He's British. He had a connection with Desmond.

Hmmm.

8. Michele - 04/30/2009 11:15 am CDT

Evan--Mrs. Hawking isn't Penny's mother as well as Daniel's. Remember when they were kicking him off the island, Ben said, "You've had a child with an outsider".
I thought the nurse/Cholly scene weird as well-just odd. It reminded me of the scene of Aaron and Kate in the store, and how when he got lost the clerk didn't even remember there was a kid and looked puzzled when Kate asked; Just sort of random, but you wonder if it's a clue.
Mrs. Hawking is so annoying! She's the first bad actress on the show. The way she prounounces the "u" in words like "assume", she says, "ass-yoom", it's so overkill, over-dramatic. Plus, why doesn't Daniel have an accent? Both parents do, and he seems to be raised and educated in England. Also, when she tells Penny she's Daniel's mum, it's another "DA-DA-DA!!!!!!" moment, like it's a big shock to the audience. And lastly, she doesn't look anything like young Eloise. Usually they do a great job of matching young/old characters.
Juliet looked hurt when Sawyer called Kate "Freckles", and I admit, I was as well. Badly done, Sawyer.
Good episode, though, we're getting some questions answered, and I want answers.

9. Bill - 04/30/2009 11:29 am CDT

Does anyone else NOT want them to detonate a nuclear bomb on the island? Count me in as thinking that will stink.

OK, possible theory (and a terrible prospect, imo) on the ending of the show:

1. Somehow, throughout this season and the next, efforts continue to change the incident, or its aftermath, etc. To change the future.

2. They succeed on the last show of the series.

3. Last five minute montage: Flight 815 lands safely in LA, and all the characters go about their lives, never having lived what we've been watching the last six years.

Could happen . . .

10. Michele - 04/30/2009 1:20 pm CDT

Whoa, Bill what a freaky possible stroke of genius you just had!!!
That ending would not be unsatisfying, but Daniel would've died to assure it, sort of sad. And, Kate would still go to jail, which would be sort of happy :)
Would this mean the island is still there, or blown up?

11. Evan - 04/30/2009 2:15 pm CDT

Michele - I don't think that line necessarily refers to Penny, but it obviously might. I'd also point out that Widmore has talked about Ben tricking him off the island, which raises questions about what really happened there given Ben's constant scheming and lying. I think the whole Penny situation is still murky, not only who is her mother, but why and how did Widmore 'have' to estrange himself from her if she is just the product of some off-island romance?

Bill, that theory is obviously essentially the one that Daniel hypothetically proposed in this episode. He thought he could be a variable that changed the future and make the 815 plane crash never happen. But, holding to form, he just ended up being another constant doing what he always had to do. I do think that some of the Losties will now take up Daniel's attempt (as did Sayid in shooting young Ben), but we'll see if they succeed anymore than they did. And more interestingly, whether some Losties actually want to attempt to alter the future and stop the 815 plane crash.

I am with you, I think it would be largely terrible if the show ends with the plane crash erased from time. I continue to hold to the belief that 'What happened, happened' will prevail, and that any attempt too alter the known future either continues to get twarted, or actually causes the known future.

But then again, I am a Calvinist. ;)

12. Bill - 04/30/2009 3:10 pm CDT

I get the sense that most of the players who are in the know (Eloise and Daniel for instance) believe in "Whatever happens, happens", but they also hold some belief in variability. Daniel has a hopeful belief that he can change the future. And Eloise has a rather more fearful belief that the future might change; for example, when asked by Ben what would happen if not everyone went back, her "God help us all" comment.

I wish they had a better actress playing Hawking.

Finally - for as smart as Daniel is, how smart is it to walk into an Other camp brandishing a pistol? Especially when you have half of the camp standing behind you while you are holding a pistol and counting three before shooting their immortal leader?

No wonder he got shot.

13. Jared - 04/30/2009 3:55 pm CDT

Hmm. For a minute or two, I thought maybe getting shot by his mom was his plan.
---

Nobody answered my query about lil/big Charlie.
Possible same person?

14. Evan - 04/30/2009 3:59 pm CDT

Finally - for as smart as Daniel is, how smart is it to walk into an Other camp brandishing a pistol?

Yeah. Also, how believable was it for a guy that dogmatically pushed 'what happened, happened' to all of a sudden do a hard 180 and believe in human variables and the ability to change and improve history by exploding an old unstable atomic bomb in the midst of an immense and unknown electro-magnetic power source? That he apparently accomplished nothing and got shot actually seems consistent and believable. That he even attempted all this is what seems somewhat bizarre and out of character.

Well, Evan, I hope you're wrong, but you almost never are, so I'm bummed . . .

Well, that's actually because I am evil Evan from 2011 who has been sent back in time to post on this blog to make sure you don't get any ideas and actually figure this show out before it airs....

15. Evan - 04/30/2009 4:05 pm CDT

Jared - I've seen speculation about that, but it's hard for me to buy it.

If Charles Widmore is Penny's father as has been asserted all along, than this theory would mean that Penny's son is actually her own father.

I think that is even too crazy for Lost.

Now if Penny really isn't Charles Widmore's daughter.......

16. Jared - 04/30/2009 4:22 pm CDT

No, I didn't mean THAT Charlie (Widmore). I meant Driveshaft Charlie.

17. Evan - 04/30/2009 5:51 pm CDT

Oh, sorry. Obviously less crazy that having your father also be your son. ;)

But I still think that would be hard for the writers to incorporate. How could that actually work since we already know a fair amount of Charlie's backstory growing up in the 1980's and 90's?

I guess in some period of time after 2007, you could have Penny/Desmond somehow take baby Charlie back into the past and leave him there with new parents and brothers, etc. maybe to hide or protect him, or maybe to get him to fulfill his destiny of going to the island on flight 815. But I don't know what that twist would accomplish since Charlie is still dead and would never have learned that Desmond and Penny were his real parents before he died anyway.

But then again, Hugo is carrying around that guitar case and we haven't yet seen his reason for returning. So hey, why not? :)

18. Jared - 04/30/2009 6:13 pm CDT

I was thinking that Penny left Charlie with "a nurse" and he disappears.

So his childhood and everything is still "safe" as a backstory. He was kidnapped and raised to believe others were his parents/family.

Just a theory.
But the name being the same (like big and little Miles), him being British, his close friendship with and dying for Desmond, etc. seem promising.

But I could be way off. This show confuses me.

19. TheCalvinator - 04/30/2009 6:29 pm CDT

Charles Widmore is Dan's dad?

You didn't see that coming?

20. Bill - 04/30/2009 6:36 pm CDT

You didn't see that coming?

Well, it didn't exactly blow me away but, no - I hadn't seen that one telegraphed. Largely because I surmised that Charles and Eloise were brother and sister, and because her last name (I assumed married name) was Hawking. Still not sure where the heck "Faraday" came from, or why he sounds like he's from San Diego, rather than London.

So his childhood and everything is still "safe" as a backstory. He was kidnapped and raised to believe others were his parents/family.

The idea of lil Cholly being You All Everybody Cholly has merit. I've thought of it before. But it seems even more plausible now.

Of course, you'd have to add "He was kidnapped, SENT BACK IN TIME, and raised to believe others were his parents/family."

21. Jared - 04/30/2009 6:54 pm CDT

Of course, you'd have to add "He was kidnapped, SENT BACK IN TIME, and raised to believe others were his parents/family."

That's true.

And "Lost" never does weird, confusing stuff.

:-)

22. Jared - 04/30/2009 6:55 pm CDT

Oh, and honestly, I really expect to be wrong. Mainly because I thought of it.

23. Bill - 04/30/2009 9:50 pm CDT

And "Lost" never does weird, confusing stuff.

Naw, I wasn't commenting on the ridiculousness of it, just clarifying :-) - I actually think it's a very plausible theory.

24. the sentinel - 05/01/2009 7:25 am CDT

I wish they had a better actress playing Hawking.


Agreed. I don't like her as one of these Others , but I loved her when she was one of the other Others. Now that was a brilliant movie!

25. Quaid - 05/01/2009 8:08 am CDT

So - do you think Jack will meet a young(er) Christian? Or himself?

I think that they're going to try and carry out Faraday's plan (as shown in the "next week on LOST") and fail. The swan incident will not be averted and will send everyone from the future back to their time zone. It may happen at exactly the right time for Sawyer/Juliet. Who knows what gun will be to their heads when the white light flashes? That's my theory, for now.

Also - I think that Dan is really dead. I also think that Miles will die OR somehow have the choice to stay with his father (???) - but when all of the Time-Shifted Losties get back to their proper place in time, he won't be there, too. We'll focus on the original cast for the final season - the only extra characters will be those who crashed on 316 (and Alpert, Ben, etc.).

26. Michele - 05/01/2009 10:45 am CDT

I watched it again last night with my husband, and it looks like Dan is pretty dead. His eyes do the blank stare thing at the last. Doubly sad, he died knowing his own mom had sent him back there to kill him. And for what? I keep trying to think back over his character's story and nothing really big happened because he came there, did it? He was smart and interesting, but I don't think he changed the story. Why did she make him go back?

27. Quaid - 05/01/2009 11:20 am CDT

I think she made him go back because his idea of variables was/is wrong. I think there's an idea at play that all of time is already set - both past AND present AND future - this is quite the theological conundrum.

God is above time and He knows and sees all - to what extent have things that haven't happened already occurred? This question, I think, lies outside of the Free Will debate. If there is an idea that things that are in the future are set and Eloise knows/believes this, then she knows that no matter what she could have done, there is no way she could have kept him from being killed. She knew it was pointless to try and convince him otherwise.

It's the same advice she gave to Desmond in/after she saw him in the jewelry store - there is no altering what will happen. You might be able to delay it, perhaps, but you cannot change it.

There is a hint that maybe all of this is up in the air when you see her tell Penny that for the first time she doesn't know what's going to happen.

I think one of the more sad things that we see in the episode is when she gives Faraday his journal with the note on the inside cover that says, "Remember, I will always love you." She wrote this knowing that his death would be at her hand and, strangely, there was absolutely nothing she could do about it. VERY interesting . . .

I'm pretty sure that Daniel is dead. The same way I was sure that Jin was alive - I just have this feeling. (The same way everyone is scared for little Charlie - without any specific reasoning)

28. Michele - 05/01/2009 11:32 am CDT

I hadn't thought about the jewelry store conversation and Hawking's outlook, but you may be right.
Actually, when LOST characters discuss the philosophy of time-travel and changing things, my eyes glaze over. I love time-travel plots, but dealing with the real nuts and bolts of if it, it's implications, loses me. I hope it's not imperative for us to understand all their theories to really get the ending. They do seem to make a lot of little speeches about it. I can tell the writers are trying to get us to dwell there for awhile.

29. Quaid - 05/01/2009 12:49 pm CDT

Michele,

I don't think that you'll have to understand all of the details about the time travel, but they may add enjoyment to the show when everything is said and done. If my theory about Faraday being wrong about the "variable" is true, then it means that everything is as it was and will be - the "variable" was just a ruse to throw people into questioning the show's future.

It may be unfair to judge the story from the outside, but let's face it - the show will end with everyone being back together. Whether that happens through the bomb or through the incident or whatever, everyone will come back together.

Bill's idea about the plane resetting and never crashing is quite compelling making all of what we've watched a "dream" without being a technical dream. Still, as we've mentioned, that leaves Kate either in prison or on the lam. That leaves Jin & Sun facing possible marriage difficulties. That leaves Jack to bury his father without discovering who Claire is/was. That leaves Locke handicapped. (although Charlie, the blunder twins and the tailies will all be alive).

All this to say - while Bill's theory is certainly plausible and is very intriguing, I don't think they'll go that route.

30. Michele - 05/01/2009 1:49 pm CDT

Hmmm, you're right, I forget all the good things that have happened to them being there...that would be sort of depressing.
I'd rather someone stand up and preach a great gospel message in the plane, everyone believe and the plane crash. That would be satisfying. You know there's some great writing when you feel compelled to pray for the characters.

31. Bill - 05/01/2009 2:18 pm CDT

while Bill's theory is certainly plausible and is very intriguing, I don't think they'll go that route.

I don't either, but I know they are going to head-fake in that direction.

I think it's possible that they will discover that they can change the future, and it will divide the Losties between people like Jack, Juliet, Sayid, Hurley, etc, who want all of this to go away, and people like Kate, Sawyer, Locke, who wouldn't be able to bear losing Aaron, going to jail, being paralyzed again, etc.

32. Michele - 05/02/2009 3:33 pm CDT

Hey, you guys, it hit me. The reason Faraday had to return was to warn everyone, thus getting Miles, Charlotte, etc. off the island to avoid "The Incident". (I'm surprised you guys missed that. Some "Thinklings" :)

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